Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 75.151250 84.411877 93.905053 104.333316 115.436643 126.876715 139.525834
2025-01-26 63.136815 76.688601 91.203919 107.783021 126.074800 145.528560 167.672134
2025-02-02 55.757584 71.792439 89.523543 110.331085 133.839004 159.355193 188.929479
2025-02-09 48.032500 65.466294 85.339763 109.249309 136.839210 167.320996 203.197048
2025-02-16 41.777551 60.134129 81.665879 108.162490 139.313658 174.259215 215.926004
2025-02-23 37.572725 56.825393 79.989320 109.055434 143.768391 183.202832 230.719375
2025-03-02 33.494899 53.282288 77.703155 108.933355 146.792675 190.310762 243.259268
2025-03-09 30.319288 50.605421 76.244130 109.602108 150.582845 198.177304 256.573668
2025-03-16 26.726792 47.061371 73.437436 108.389750 151.928906 203.032593 266.270361
2025-03-23 24.686018 45.459462 72.986084 110.002815 156.619321 211.785888 280.498247
2025-03-30 22.970281 44.165792 72.825685 111.894798 161.588170 220.832823 295.056401
2025-04-06 20.394194 41.407150 70.541280 110.916407 162.882684 225.378352 304.208641
2025-04-13 17.508628 37.960580 67.167232 108.413988 162.213383 227.540353 310.558285
2025-04-20 16.855123 37.918054 68.491566 112.109934 169.405672 239.330772 328.537074
2025-04-27 15.926212 37.349768 69.014620 114.693845 175.155109 249.343636 344.379827
2025-05-04 14.028354 35.019456 66.883411 113.590088 176.082852 253.349120 352.898631
2025-05-11 12.315858 32.826362 64.822747 112.476577 176.915474 257.176804 361.157956
2025-05-18 11.267405 31.694191 64.267574 113.391063 180.363427 264.251737 373.388870
2025-05-25 10.068089 30.161378 63.018045 113.266041 182.392641 269.513905 383.374399
2025-06-01 9.152428 29.064976 62.375278 113.950825 185.464896 276.076205 394.962286
2025-06-08 7.926727 27.211855 60.442589 112.709381 185.900110 279.249982 402.321081
2025-06-15 7.363324 26.645505 60.527443 114.361117 190.220670 287.378348 415.857608
2025-06-22 6.892692 26.224430 60.819131 116.298176 194.922981 296.001349 430.028781